Official portrait of FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford in a dark suit and blue tie in front of an American flag.
Image: Federal Aviation Administration, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

FAA ground stop

FAA cancels nationwide ground stop, an hour after traders doubted it

The FAA lifted the halt Friday evening, AP and Axios reported; an end by mid-evening had been a long shot less than an hour earlier.

What’s new · yesterday

Traders are now certain the ground stop was lifted by 9 p.m. ET Friday, matching the reported cancellation time; an end before midnight was already treated as certain.

The Federal Aviation Administration canceled its nationwide ground stop on Friday evening, allowing departures to resume before midnight, The Associated Press and Axios reported. The cancellation came less than an hour after traders had treated an end by mid-evening as a long shot. They are now certain the halt was lifted by 9 p.m. ET.

An independently compiled account of FAA advisories, posted on Reddit, puts the cancellation advisory at 8:19 p.m. ET. The FAA's own advisory page could not be independently retrieved, but AP and Axios subsequently confirmed that the nationwide stop was over, resolving the uncertainty of earlier in the evening.

The swing in expectations was abrupt. Early Friday evening, an end before midnight had climbed to slightly better than even, while an end by mid-evening was seen as unlikely. Both then slid steadily, and the mid-evening bets fell to a long shot. Within minutes of the reported cancellation time they surged back, erasing the entire drop and more. Bets on an end before midnight firmed to certainty first, and those on an end by 9 p.m. ET have now followed.

The FAA ordered the halt on Friday afternoon after communications problems affected regional air traffic control centers. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said technicians were investigating. Some international flights and flights in Alaska and Hawaii were handled separately while the stop remained in force, according to AP.

Before the cancellation, the same compiled account showed the stop still in effect at 5:46 p.m. ET, with departures permitted through coordination as facilities recovered. Selective releases of that kind fell short of an end to the nationwide order.

What counts as the end is official word from the FAA, the Transportation Department or their authorized representatives that the all-airports halt is cancelled or no longer in effect, even if narrower ground stops or other traffic restrictions replace it at individual airports or regions.

Travel may be slow to return to normal. Departures may resume, but airlines still face disrupted schedules for aircraft and crews, Axios reported. The FAA was investigating the communications problem that prompted the halt.

Sources

Associated Press

The Federal Aviation Administration says airplane departures can resume | AP News

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Axios

FAA ends hours-long nationwide ground stop

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Reddit, r/sysadmin

FAA national ground stop (Advisory 111): the official advisories and statements so far, in order : r/sysadmin

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Move history

  • November 13, 9:00 PM ET▲ 4 ptsto 99.8%
  • November 13, 10:00 PM ET▲ 1 ptto 99.2%
  • November 14, 12:00 AM ET▲ 8 ptsto 99.4%
  • November 14, 12:00 PM ET▲ 2 ptsto 99.4%
  • November 13, 9:00 PM ET▲ 12 ptsto 95.6%
Show all 22 movesShow fewer
  • November 13, 10:00 PM ET▲ 30 ptsto 98.5%
  • November 13, 9:00 PM ET▲ 79 ptsto 83%
  • November 13, 10:00 PM ET▲ 57 ptsto 69%
  • November 14, 12:00 PM ET▲ 16 ptsto 97.0%
  • November 14, 12:00 AM ET▲ 62 ptsto 91.0%
  • November 14, 12:00 AM ET▼ 12 ptsto 32%
  • November 13, 8:00 PM ET▼ 4 ptsto 0.6%
  • November 13, 10:00 PM ET▼ 18 ptsto 11%
  • November 14, 12:00 AM ET▼ 16 ptsto 44%
  • November 13, 9:00 PM ET▼ 6 ptsto 12%
  • November 13, 8:00 PM ET▼ 10 ptsto 4.5%
  • November 13, 10:00 PM ET▼ 10 ptsto 30%
  • November 14, 12:00 AM ET▲ 8 ptsto 60%
  • November 13, 8:00 PM ET▼ 8 ptsto 15%
  • November 13, 8:00 PM ET▲ 12 ptsto 23%
  • November 13, 10:00 PM ET▲ 12 ptsto 40%
  • November 14, 12:00 AM ET▲ 8 ptsto 51%

Odds reflect traders’ expectations, not facts, and can swing on thin trading.